> ## Content Index > Fetch the complete content index at: https://www.predictmatters.com/llms.txt > Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further. # College Football Futures: Prediction Markets to Watch in Week 9 - URL: https://www.predictmatters.com/college-football-futures-week-9-prediction-markets/ - Published: 2026-10-30T15:15:04.000Z - Updated: 2026-10-30T15:15:04.000Z - Description: Georgia leads a crowded national championship market, Jeremiah Smith faces a new test in the Heisman race, and Ohio State's quarterback uncertainty could reshape the Big Ten picture with another busy Saturday on tap. - Author: PredictMatters - Tags: Markets, Sports The final Saturday of October brings several games with implications beyond the weekly standings. Georgia enters the weekend as a narrow national championship favorite, Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith faces his first game without starting quarterback Julian Sayin, and Indiana looks to keep pressure on the Buckeyes in the Big Ten title race. Here's how Kalshi has the three futures markets priced heading into Saturday, and which matchups could move them. ## **Market Snapshot** - **National Championship:** Georgia leads Kalshi's title market at 19%, followed by Miami (16%), Notre Dame (13%), and Ohio State (12%). Four teams sit within seven percentage points of one another, reflecting a championship race without a dominant favorite. - **Heisman Trophy:** Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith leads at 39%, ahead of Miami quarterback Darian Mensah (25%) and receiver Malachi Toney (21%). Smith's quarterback situation introduces a new variable, while Miami's two contenders are coming off standout performances. - **Big Ten Championship:** Ohio State holds a 45% probability, followed by Indiana (33%) and UCLA (13%). The Buckeyes and Hoosiers are both in action Saturday, with Ohio State's offense under particular scrutiny following Julian Sayin's injury. *Kalshi market prices as of 10:46 a.m. ET on Friday, October 30, 2026.* ## **College Football National Championship Odds: Saturday's Games to Watch** ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/24/c0/24c05202-5a17-4388-aeb9-89b35a8fceff/content/images/2026/10/CFB-National-Title-Prices-10-30-2026.png) Georgia leads the national championship market, but the narrow separation among the leading contenders illustrates how unsettled the title race remains. Miami is close behind, while Notre Dame and Ohio State retain substantial market support despite different questions surrounding their postseason paths. Several Saturday matchups could provide fresh evidence about which teams deserve their favored status. - **Florida vs. Georgia (3:30 p.m. ET):** Georgia remains Kalshi's national championship favorite despite its recent loss to Auburn. The Bulldogs enter their rivalry matchup with Florida carrying less room for error, particularly with Miami and Notre Dame both in action and on their heels. - **Miami at North Carolina (7:30 p.m. ET):** Miami remains unbeaten following a 52–23 victory over Pittsburgh. The Hurricanes sit just three percentage points behind Georgia. Their explosive passing attack heads to North Carolina this week for an intriguing ACC showdown. - **Notre Dame vs. Navy (noon ET):** Notre Dame remains third in Kalshi's national championship market despite its loss to BYU. The Fighting Irish enter Saturday with little margin for another setback, putting added pressure on CJ Carr and the offense to deliver against Navy. - **Ohio State at USC (7:30 p.m. ET):** The Buckeyes face their first game without injured starting quarterback Julian Sayin. With Luke Fahey and Tavien St. Clair preparing for potential action, Saturday offers a look at whether the team can maintain its offensive production. These games won't determine the national champion, but they could change how traders assess the contenders. With no team above 19%, even modest shifts in confidence could produce a different market leader entering November. ## **Heisman Trophy Odds: Key Contenders and Week 9 Matchups** ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/24/c0/24c05202-5a17-4388-aeb9-89b35a8fceff/content/images/2026/10/Heisman-Trophy-Prices-10-30-2026.png) Jeremiah Smith remains the Heisman favorite, but his position faces an unusual test this weekend. The Ohio State receiver has delivered exceptional production throughout the season, yet Saturday's trip to USC will be his first game without Sayin directing the offense.Meanwhile, Miami's Darian Mensah and Malachi Toney have strengthened their cases with outstanding recent performances. - **Jeremiah Smith, Ohio State (39%):** Smith has 52 receptions for 984 yards and 12 touchdowns, including consecutive 200-yard performances against Illinois and Iowa. Against USC, the question is whether Ohio State's replacement QB1 can maintain the passing-game production that has helped make Smith the Heisman favorite. - **Darian Mensah, Miami (25%):** Mensah has thrown for 2,151 yards, 22 touchdowns, and just one interception this season. He completed 31 of 37 passes for 387 yards and four touchdowns against Pittsburgh. Another efficient, high-production outing at North Carolina would give traders additional evidence for his candidacy. - **Malachi Toney, Miami (21%):** Toney enters the weekend with 66 receptions, 952 yards, and 11 touchdowns. His school-record 16 catches for 194 yards and three scores against Pittsburgh demonstrated his ability to dominate a game. Saturday provides another opportunity to distinguish his individual case alongside Mensah. - **CJ Carr, Notre Dame (4%):** Carr has thrown 16 touchdowns against one interception, but remains well behind the leading trio in Kalshi's market. A strong performance against Navy could help him remain in the conversation, although closing the gap would likely require more than one productive afternoon. The Miami pairing makes this race particularly intriguing. A dominant Hurricanes passing performance could bolster both Mensah and Toney, while Smith's ability to sustain his production without Sayin may be the weekend's most revealing individual storyline. ## **Big Ten Championship Odds: Ohio State, Indiana, and the Title Race** ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/24/c0/24c05202-5a17-4388-aeb9-89b35a8fceff/content/images/2026/10/Big-Ten-Prices-10-30-2026.png) Ohio State remains the Big Ten favorite, but Indiana is close enough to keep the conference championship market competitive. The Buckeyes' earlier victory over the Hoosiers provides an important head-to-head result, although the remaining schedule and Ohio State's quarterback uncertainty could still influence the race. Saturday features several relevant games, with different implications for the conference standings. - **Ohio State at USC (7:30 p.m. ET):** The Buckeyes lead the market at 45% after defeating Indiana 19–15 on October 17\. Sayin's absence creates a new test, with Luke Fahey and Tavien St. Clair preparing for potential playing time. Ohio State's ability to navigate the road matchup could affect confidence in its conference title prospects. - **Minnesota at Indiana (3:30 p.m. ET):** Indiana sits at 33% following a narrow 13–6 overtime victory at Michigan. The Hoosiers remain firmly in contention, but their loss to Ohio State means they can’t afford further conference game setbacks. - **Nevada at UCLA (4:15 p.m. ET):** UCLA is third in the market at 13% and enters Saturday with two consecutive victories. Nevada is a nonconference opponent, so the game won't directly affect UCLA's Big Ten record. It can, however, offer another indication of the Bruins' form heading into the conference stretch. - **Northwestern at Oregon (3:30 p.m. ET):** Northwestern holds a 4% probability in Kalshi's market. A road victory against Oregon would carry direct conference implications and could improve the Wildcats' long shot prospects. Ohio State's quarterback transition is the biggest variable in the Big Ten title market. A difficult night at USC could give Indiana an opening, while a strong performance would offer the first evidence that the Buckeyes can sustain their championship ambitions without Sayin. It's also a storyline with implications for the national title and Heisman races. ## Sign up for PredictMatters Get up to speed on what matters in prediction markets. Subscribe Email sent! Check your inbox to complete your signup. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.