> ## Content Index > Fetch the complete content index at: https://www.predictmatters.com/llms.txt > Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further. # Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction Markets: Prices, Props & Preview - URL: https://www.predictmatters.com/commanders-cowboys-prediction-markets/ - Published: 2026-09-20T12:23:15.000Z - Updated: 2026-09-20T12:23:15.000Z - Description: Dallas is the market favorite over Washington as the NFC East rivals meet Sunday afternoon with both teams looking for their first win. - Author: PredictMatters - Tags: Markets, Sports The Commanders and Cowboys both opened the season with division losses. Prediction markets give Dallas the stronger chance of avoiding a dreaded 0-2 start. Dallas enters its home opener with a 65% chance of beating Washington, while the Commanders sit at 35%. Markets are less certain on the Cowboys winning by more than 4.5 points and how active the scoreboard will be. ## Market Snapshot - **Dallas wins:** 65% - **Washington wins:** 35% - **Dallas -4.5:** 47% - **Over 50.5 points:** 52% - **Volume:** $1.49M+ - **Kickoff:** Sept. 20, 4:25 p.m. EDT - **Venue:** AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas - **Watch:** FOX - *Prediction market prices on Kalshi as of 7:40 a.m. EDT Sunday.* ## Quick Brief Dallas returns home after a 28–20 loss to the Giants in its opener. The Cowboys were outgained 394–244, allowed 165 rushing yards, and struggled to find rhythm offensively. Dak Prescott finished with 175 passing yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. Washington came much closer to opening with a win, falling 24–22 at Philadelphia after a potential game-tying two-point conversion was stopped in the final minute. Jayden Daniels threw for 164 yards and two touchdowns and added 31 yards on the ground, while the Commanders rushed for 132 yards as a team. Both teams will also be missing pieces Sunday. Washington has ruled out linebacker Frankie Luvu and tight end Chig Okonkwo, while Dallas enters the matchup after losing defenders DeMarvion Overshown and Malik Hooker to injuries in Week 1. ## Washington vs. Dallas prediction market props Market Price Dallas over 27.5 points 51% Washington over 23.5 points 49% Dallas scores first TD 57% Washington scores first TD 47% Dak Prescott 250+ passing yards 60% Jayden Daniels 225+ passing yards 51% Dak Prescott 2+ passing TDs 64% Jayden Daniels 2+ passing TDs 41% Jacory Croskey-Merritt 50+ rushing yards 54% CeeDee Lamb 70+ receiving yards 57% Javonte Williams anytime TD 61% ## Trading on Washington vs. Dallas Dallas enters looking to rebound after an uneven opener. Dak Prescott threw for 175 yards and two touchdowns against New York, but the Cowboys generated few explosive plays and lost the turnover battle in a 28-20 defeat. Washington’s opener offered a different mix. Jayden Daniels, playing his first regular-season game in 11 months, finished with 164 passing yards and two touchdowns as the Commanders rallied late against Philadelphia. Washington also rushed for 132 yards, with Daniels adding 31 on the ground. The Cowboys allowed 394 yards in their opener, including 165 on the ground, while Jaxson Dart completed 79% of his passes and added 54 rushing yards. That makes Daniels’ dual-threat ability especially relevant Sunday, with Dallas also missing linebacker DeMarvion Overshown and safety Malik Hooker. Washington edge rusher Dorance Armstrong is set to return and make his season debut against his former team. ## Other NFL games to watch - **Minnesota at Chicago:** The Bears are priced at 66% to win, with Chicago -4.5 at 49%. Both teams arrive 1–0 after explosive openers: Chicago scored 59 points and rushed for 291 yards against Carolina, while Minnesota beat Green Bay 39–22. - **Pittsburgh at New England:** The Patriots carry a 68% chance of winning despite opening the season with a 13–10 loss at Seattle. Pittsburgh is 32% after beating Atlanta 20–13\. New England -5.5 is priced at 48%, and the over 41.5 sits at 49%. - **Cincinnati at Houston:** One of the tighter markets on Sunday’s board gives Houston a 58% chance against Cincinnati at 42%. The Texans are looking to rebound from a 36–31 loss to Buffalo but will be without Nico Collins, Jadeveon Clowney, and starting guard Ed Ingram. Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow is questionable with a back injury. - **New Orleans at Baltimore:** Baltimore is a 78% favorite after beating Indianapolis 41–23 in its opener. The Ravens will be without receiver Zay Flowers. New Orleans is priced at 22% after rallying from 21 points down before losing 31–30 in overtime at Detroit. - **Las Vegas at Los Angeles Chargers:** The Chargers carry a 72% chance of winning, with a 6.5-point margin priced at 51%. Las Vegas arrives 1–0 after beating Miami 27–13, while Los Angeles is looking to respond to a 26–14 opening loss to Arizona. ## What to watch - **Can Dallas create separation?** The Cowboys are a 65% favorite to win, but their chance of winning by more than 4.5 points is listed at 47%. - **Does Dallas rebound offensively?** Prescott threw for only 175 yards in Week 1\. For today, he’s priced at 60% to throw for more than 250 yards. - **Can Washington stress the Dallas run defense?** The Giants rushed for 165 yards against the Cowboys. Pricing has Croskey-Merritt at 54% for 50+ rushing yards. - **How much scoring follows?** The contract for over 50.5 points is trading at 52%, with the Dallas benchmark at 27.5 and Washington at 23.5. For more on how these contracts work throughout the season, see our guide to [football prediction markets](https://www.predictmatters.com/football-prediction-markets-2026/). ## Sign up for PredictMatters Get up to speed on what matters in prediction markets. Subscribe Email sent! Check your inbox to complete your signup. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.