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# Dancing With the Stars Horror Movie Night: Prediction Market Ahead of Double Elimination
- URL: https://www.predictmatters.com/dwts-horror-movie-night-prediction-market/
- Published: 2026-10-21T10:04:39.000Z
- Updated: 2026-10-21T10:04:39.000Z
- Description: Ezra Frech remains the overwhelming favorite to win Season 35, but Amber Glenn is gaining ground after topping the Dedication Night leaderboard. Next week's double elimination could reshape the race.
- Author: PredictMatters
- Tags: Markets, Trends

The race for the Dancing With the Stars Mirrorball Trophy is entering a consequential week.

All 10 couples survived Tuesday's Dedication Night, setting up a double elimination on October 27's Horror Movie Night. Kalshi's winner market continues to favor Ezra Frech, with Amber Glenn emerging as his closest challenger.

## Latest Dancing With the Stars Prediction Market Winner Prices

![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/24/c0/24c05202-5a17-4388-aeb9-89b35a8fceff/content/images/2026/10/DWTS-Prices-10-21-2026.png)

The market has recorded more than $6.33 million in trading volume, with a substantial gap separating Frech from the other contestants.

Compared with [last week's DWTS prediction market snapshot](https://www.predictmatters.com/dwts-prediction-market-super-bowl-night/), the most notable changes include:

- **Ezra Frech:** 57%, down slightly from 58%.
- **Amber Glenn:** 14%, up five percentage points from 9%.
- **Maura Higgins:** 10%, down from 14%.
- **Harry Shum Jr.:** 5%, down from 11%.

Glenn has overtaken Higgins and Shum to become the market's second choice, but Frech still commands a 43-percentage-point lead over his nearest challenger.

While traders have become more optimistic about Glenn's championship prospects, that’s not translating into a meaningful reduction of their confidence in Frech.

## Dedication Night Recap: Glenn Shines, Frech Holds His Lead

Amber Glenn delivered the night's highest-scoring performance, but Ezra Frech showed why he remains the prediction market's overwhelming favorite.

Glenn and partner Pasha Pashkov earned 38 out of 40 for a contemporary dance to Sia's *Breathe Me*, dedicated to Glenn's sister, Brooke. The performance earned two perfect 10s and put the Olympic figure skater atop the judges' leaderboard.

Frech wasn't far behind. Dancing with Daniella Karagach to Mon Rovia's *Bloodline*, the Paralympic champion honored his mother, Bahar Soomekh, who joined him onstage. Their emotional routine earned 37 out of 40, including the season's first perfect 10.

Other contenders also delivered memorable performances. Jenna Dewan scored 37 for a Viennese waltz to *Unchained Melody*, while Harry Shum Jr. earned 36 dancing to John Mayer's *Stop This Train*. Julia Stiles matched Shum's score with a tribute to her late 10 Things I Hate About You co-star Heath Ledger, performing to *Can't Take My Eyes Off You*.

Glenn may have won the night on the judges' leaderboard, but Frech remains firmly in control of the winner market. The gap suggests traders are weighing more than the latest performances.

Dedication Night delivered one final surprise: No one went home. All 10 couples advanced, with their scores and audience votes carrying over to Horror Movie Night on October 27.

That sets up a high-stakes double elimination, with two couples departing and the field shrinking to eight.

## Horror Movie Night Preview: Double Elimination Raises the Stakes

Dancing With the Stars returns Tuesday, October 27, at 8 p.m. ET on ABC and Disney+ for Horror Movie Night, a Halloween-themed episode featuring a double elimination.

Three developments could influence the winner market:

- **Can Glenn build on her breakthrough?** Her 38-point performance and rise to second in the market have made her the clearest challenger to Frech. Another strong showing could test the market's confidence in his commanding lead.
- **Can Higgins and Shum recover ground?** Both have lost market support since last week, despite remaining competitive on the judges' leaderboard. Their next performances and audience backing could prove important as the field narrows.
- **Will the double elimination produce a surprise?** Two departures in one night raise the possibility of an unexpected exit, potentially reshaping the winner market and the competition for the Mirrorball Trophy.

Frech enters Horror Movie Night as the clear favorite, but Glenn's recent gains and the looming double elimination could shake up the winner market.

Will the challengers begin closing the gap, or will Frech emerge with an even stronger grip on the Mirrorball race?

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