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# Eagles vs. Jaguars Prediction Market: Prices & Props for NFL London Week 5
- URL: https://www.predictmatters.com/eagles-jaguars-prediction-market-london-october-11-2026/
- Published: 2026-10-10T20:31:44.000Z
- Updated: 2026-10-10T20:31:44.000Z
- Description: Jacksonville enters Sunday's London matchup as a substantial favorite over a Philadelphia that has been racked with injuries.
- Author: PredictMatters
- Tags: Markets, Sports

The Jacksonville Jaguars have emerged as clear favorites for Sunday's NFL London game against the Philadelphia Eagles, with Kalshi traders assigning Jacksonville a 76% chance of victory.

The matchup brings together a 3-1 Jaguars team with one of the NFL's stingiest defenses and a 2-2 Eagles squad dealing with consecutive losses and significant personnel changes.

## Market Snapshot

- **Jaguars win:** 76%
- **Eagles win:** 24%
- **Spread:** Jaguars to win by more than 7.5 points - 50%
- **Total points:** Over 42.5 - 49%
- **Trading volume:** $5.07 million+
- **Game:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
- **Kickoff:** 9:30 a.m. EDT
- **Venue:** Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
- **Broadcast:** NFL Network
- *Kalshi market prices as of 4:04 p.m. EDT on October 10, 2026.*

## Quick Brief

Jacksonville enters Sunday's London game as a commanding 76% favorite. The Jaguars have built momentum behind a strong defense, while Philadelphia arrives with consecutive losses and a roster battered by injuries.

The Eagles' offensive challenges are particularly significant, with key playmakers unavailable and a reshuffled offensive line facing a difficult matchup. The supporting markets reinforce Jacksonville's advantage, although traders remain divided on whether the Jaguars will win by more than 7.5 points.

## Eagles vs. Jaguars Prediction Market Props 

Market

Probability

Jaguars over 24.5 team points

54%

Eagles over 17.5 team points

41%

Trevor Lawrence 200+ passing yards

66%

Jalen Hurts 200+ passing yards

43%

Trevor Lawrence 2+ passing TDs

50%

Jalen Hurts 2+ passing TDs

25%

Bhayshul Tuten 60+ rushing yards

59%

Will Shipley 30+ rushing yards

58%

Parker Washington 60+ receiving yards

52%

Dallas Goedert 40+ receiving yards

54%

## Why Jacksonville Is the Clear Favorite

The Jaguars enter London with three wins in four games and a defense that has allowed just 13.3 points per contest. Jacksonville has held every opponent to 20 points or fewer and recorded nine takeaways through its first four games.

Trevor Lawrence is off to a stellar start to the season. His passing production is reflected in the supporting markets, with traders assigning a 66% probability to at least 200 passing yards and a 50% probability to two or more passing touchdowns.

Jacksonville also has considerable experience playing overseas. Sunday's contest marks the franchise's 15th regular-season game in London, where it has compiled a 7-7 record.

## Philadelphia Faces a Difficult Test

The Eagles arrive in London following consecutive defeats to the Chicago Bears and Los Angeles Rams, with injuries and offensive-line changes complicating their preparation.

Running back Saquon Barkley and wide receivers DeVonta Smith and Marquise Brown have been ruled out. Philadelphia also enters the game following Lane Johnson's retirement and the trade of Cam Jurgens, leaving the offensive line significantly reshuffled.

Those absences put additional pressure on Jalen Hurts to generate offense against a Jacksonville defense that has been particularly effective at limiting scoring.

The player markets reflect the challenge. Hurts has a 43% probability of reaching 200 passing yards, while the market for two or more passing touchdowns stands at 25%.

With Barkley unavailable, Philadelphia's rushing workload could shift toward Will Shipley and Dameon Pierce. Shipley's market assigns a 58% probability to at least 30 rushing yards.

## What to Watch in London

- **Jaguars defensive pressure:** The Jaguars have generated consistent pressure without relying heavily on blitzes. Philadelphia's rebuilt offensive line faces an immediate test.
- **Lawrence's opportunity:** Philadelphia's injury-depleted offense could put additional pressure on its defense. Lawrence will look to capitalize, with Jacksonville's passing attack offering another potential advantage.
- **Philadelphia's depleted offense:** The absence of Barkley and multiple receivers could force the Eagles to adjust how they distribute touches.
- **Jacksonville's London experience:** The Jaguars are playing their 15th regular-season game in London. That familiarity with overseas travel and preparation could prove valuable against an Eagles team facing significant roster challenges.

Jacksonville enters Sunday with a commanding market advantage, fueled by its strong defense, early-season momentum, and Philadelphia's mounting personnel losses. The biggest question is whether the injury-depleted Eagles can generate enough offense to keep pace with Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars, or whether Jacksonville will turn its favorable matchup into a convincing London victory.

For more on how game outcomes, spreads, and player contracts work, explore our [Sports Prediction Markets: How They Work and What to Know](https://www.predictmatters.com/sports-prediction-markets/) guide.

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