Dancing With the Stars Grammy Night: Prediction Market Prices & Preview

The race for the Dancing With the Stars Season 35 Mirrorball Trophy is getting more interesting, with Harry Shum Jr. emerging as the strongest challenger to longtime prediction market favorite Ezra Frech.

Harry delivered another perfect performance on Disney Night, helping push his Kalshi winning probability to 20%. Ezra remains comfortably ahead at 58%, although his lead has narrowed as the competition moves toward its final three episodes.

With seven couples remaining and Grammy Night coming November 10, here's how the latest prediction market prices compare, what last week's performances revealed about the contenders, and where things stand heading into the next episode. 

Market Snapshot: DWTS Season 35

• Market: Who will win Dancing With the Stars Season 35?
• Current favorite: Ezra Frech (58%)
• Leading challengers: Harry Shum Jr. (20%), Amber Glenn (14%), Connor Wood (6%), Jenna Dewan (6%), and Maura Higgins (2%).
• Trading volume: $7.58 million.
• Next episode: Grammy Night - Tuesday, November 10, at 8 p.m. ET on ABC and Disney+.
• Season finale: Tuesday, November 24, 2026.

Market prices observed November 3, 2026 at 2:01 p.m. EST. Prices are subject to change.

Latest DWTS Prediction Market Odds: Harry Shum Jr. Makes His Move

Ezra Frech continues to command the largest share of trading expectations, but the gap between him and the other contenders is no longer as wide as it was a week ago. Harry Shum Jr. has made the most notable move, climbing into second place after a string of strong performances.

• Ezra Frech - 58%: Down from 63% last week, Ezra still holds a commanding 38-point advantage over his closest challenger. His individual Disney Night score of 37/40 kept him among the top performers, even as other contestants earned perfect marks.
• Harry Shum Jr. - 20%: Up sharply from 4%, Harry has delivered consecutive perfect 40/40 routines. His rise represents the week's biggest change among the leading contenders, with the market increasingly reflecting his strong recent form.
• Amber Glenn - 14%: Amber remains third in the market, slipping slightly from 16% last week. She continues to sit within striking distance of second place in the pricing, although the gap between them has widened.
• Connor Wood and Jenna Dewan - 6% each: Both remain outside the leading trio. Jenna's position is particularly interesting after she earned a perfect 40/40 on Disney Night, matching Shum’'s individual score without receiving a comparable boost in the market.
• Maura Higgins - 2%: Maura remains a long shot despite surviving another elimination. Her 68/80 combined Disney Night score placed her last on the judges' leaderboard.
• Tatyana Ali - Below 1%: Tatyana remains the longest shot among the seven remaining contestants, with Kalshi traders assigning her little chance of winning the Mirrorball Trophy.

Shum's surge is the clearest development in the market, but Frech's substantial lead shows that recent perfect scores have not yet displaced the season's established favorite.

DWTS Disney Night Recap: Perfect Scores and a Surprise Elimination

Disney Night produced two perfect individual routines, a closely contested leaderboard, and another elimination as the field narrowed to seven couples. The results also helped explain why Shum Jr. has attracted greater attention heading into the final stretch.

• Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna Dewan each scored 40/40, earning perfect marks from the judges for their individual performances.
• Shum Jr. and Dewan finished tied at 80/80 after the team dances, sharing the top position on the combined leaderboard.
• Ezra Frech finished with 77/80, including 37/40 for his individual routine, keeping him close to the leaders without matching their perfect scores.
• Shum Jr. earned immunity from Grammy Night's dance-off through a cumulative-score tiebreaker, giving him a meaningful competitive advantage in the upcoming episode.
• Julia Stiles was eliminated, while Maura Higgins advanced despite finishing last on the combined judges' leaderboard with 68/80.

The contrast between the judges' scores and Kalshi's pricing is especially notable. Harry and Jenna finished level at the top of the leaderboard, yet their winner probabilities stand at 20% and 6%, respectively. The market is weighing more than a single week's performance as the season approaches its conclusion.

DWTS Grammy Night Preview: What to Watch on November 10

The seven remaining couples return to the ballroom for Grammy Night on November 10, with the November 17 semifinals and November 24 finale approaching. Shum's recent momentum has introduced a new dynamic into the competition, while Frech faces his most significant challenge yet in the prediction market.

• Can Shum Jr. sustain his perfect-score streak? Two consecutive 40/40 performances have strengthened his position, and dance-off immunity gives him an additional advantage heading into Grammy Night.
• Will Frech answer the challenge? Frech's 37/40 individual score on Disney Night was strong, but Shum Jr. and Dewan both finished ahead of him. Another standout performance could reinforce the distinction between Frech's market lead and the increasingly competitive judges' leaderboard.
• Can Glenn close the gap? She remains third in Kalshi's pricing at 14%. With the semifinals approaching, Grammy Night offers another opportunity to distinguish herself from the leading contenders.
• Will Dewan's scores translate into market momentum? Her perfect Disney Night performance demonstrated that she can match Shum Jr. on the judges' leaderboard. The question is whether that consistency will translate into greater support as the field narrows.
• Who will survive the next elimination? Higgins’ advancement despite finishing last on the Disney Night leaderboard underscores the importance of viewer voting. Strong judges' scores alone do not guarantee a place in the semifinals.

Grammy Night arrives at an intriguing point in the season. Frech remains the clear market leader, but Shum Jr. has narrowed the gap through consecutive standout performances. With only three episodes remaining, the relationship between judges' scores, audience support, and prediction market prices will become increasingly important as the Mirrorball race reaches its final stages.