2026 Senate Control Prediction Market: Democrats Surge With Four Weeks to Go
Democrats have opened their largest prediction-market advantage of the 2026 cycle in the race for Senate control, with four weeks remaining until Election Day.
Politics
Prediction market coverage of elections, Congress, candidates, legislation, government actions, and other political outcomes in the U.S. and beyond.
Will the CLARITY Act Become Law? Prediction Markets Jump Before Key Senate Vote
Prediction markets have sharply raised the chances of crypto market structure legislation becoming law as the CLARITY Act approaches a critical Senate vote.
How Many Senate Seats Will Democrats Hold After the Midterms? What Prediction Markets Expect
Prediction markets are clustering around one of the central questions of the 2026 midterms: how Senate seats will be allocated along party lines.
How Many House Seats Will Republicans Hold After the Midterms? What Prediction Markets Expect
Prediction market traders currently favor Democrats to retake the House this November. But the Republican seat-count market offers a more revealing question: If Republicans lose control, how much ground could they actually give up?
Political Prediction Markets: How They Work and What to Know
Learn how political prediction markets work, what you can trade, what moves prices, and how to interpret market probabilities.
Who Will Control the House? Prediction Markets Favor Democrats in 2026
Prediction markets give Democrats a commanding advantage in the race for House control, unlike the battle for the Senate.
Who Will Control the Senate? Prediction Market Forecast for 2026
Control of the U.S. Senate is nearly a coin flip heading into the final two months before Election Day, with prediction markets giving Republicans only a narrow edge over Democrats.