Colts vs. Commanders Prediction Markets: Latest Prices & Props for NFL London Week 4
Indianapolis heads to London as the clear prediction-market favorite over Washington, but traders are considerably less certain about how comfortable a Colts victory would be.
The NFL's first London game of 2026 brings together two 1-2 teams that finally broke through last week.
Indianapolis beat Houston 19-17 for its first victory, while Washington upset defending Super Bowl champion Seattle. The Commanders will try to follow that performance without starting quarterback Jayden Daniels for the second straight game.
Market Snapshot
- Colts win: 66%
- Commanders win: 34%
- Colts -4.5: 50%
- Over 47.5 points: 48%
- Market volume: $3.62M+
- Kickoff: 9:30 a.m. EDT Sunday, Oct. 4
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
- Broadcast: NFL Network
- Prediction market prices on Kalshi as of 10:55 a.m. EDT Saturday, Oct. 3, 2026.
Quick Brief
Indianapolis and Washington arrive in London with some momentum after both earned their first victories of the season last week.
The Colts edged Houston behind another heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor, while the Commanders knocked off defending Super Bowl champion Seattle with Marcus Mariota starting in place of Jayden Daniels.
Mariota will get the call again Sunday with Daniels sidelined by the left-elbow injury he suffered in Week 2.
Colts vs. Commanders prediction market props
Jonathan Taylor gets another international stage
Taylor has carried the ball 66 times through three games, tied for the NFL lead, but has yet to reach 100 rushing yards in a game. He enters Sunday averaging 3.9 yards per carry after finishing with 68 yards against Houston.
The matchup doesn't offer an obvious breakout spot. Washington has allowed just 82 rushing yards per game, the third-fewest in the NFL, and leads the league with a 25% run-stuff rate.
Taylor needs 78 yards Sunday to become the NFL's all-time leader in rushing yards in international games after running for a record 244 yards in Berlin last season.
Both secondaries could be tested
Washington ranks 31st against the pass at 280.3 yards allowed per game. Indianapolis isn't far ahead, ranking 30th at 276. Both Daniel Jones and Mariota face defenses that have surrendered plenty through the air, even though neither 225+ passing-yard contract reaches 52%.
Who they will be throwing to is another variable. Washington receiver Terry McLaurin is questionable with a hamstring injury, while Indianapolis receivers Keenan Allen and Ashton Dulin are also questionable.
What to Watch
- Mariota's second start: He delivered three touchdowns and no interceptions against Seattle. Now he gets an Indianapolis defense allowing an NFL-worst 417.3 total yards per game.
- Taylor vs. Washington's run defense: The market gives Taylor a 60% chance of reaching 80 rushing yards against a defense allowing only 82 per game.
- Washington's international drought: The Commanders are 0-2-1 overseas and remain the only NFL franchise with at least three international appearances without a victory.
For more on how these contracts work across the NFL, see our guide to football prediction markets.
