Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina Prediction Market Prices & Thursday CFB Preview

Liberty and Coastal Carolina renew an old rivalry Thursday night in Conway, with prediction markets expecting a competitive matchup.

The Flames enter with a 56% chance of winning, compared with 44% for the Chanticleers. Liberty is coming off its best offensive performance of the young season, while Coastal Carolina is looking to rebound from a road loss at Delaware.

Market Snapshot

• Liberty wins: 56%
• Coastal Carolina wins: 44%
• Volume: $233K+
• Kickoff: Sept. 24, 7:30 p.m. EDT
• Venue: Brooks Stadium, Conway, South Carolina
• Watch: ESPN
• Prediction market prices on Kalshi as of Sept. 23, 2026, at 10:48 a.m. 

Quick Brief

Liberty enters at 2–1 after breaking out offensively in a 51–15 win over Ball State. The Flames scored on six of their first seven drives and finished with season highs of 460 total yards, 248 passing yards, and 212 rushing yards.

Quarterback Deshawn Purdie completed 13 of 20 passes for 211 yards and three touchdowns, giving him five touchdown passes without an interception through three starts for Liberty. Makai Jackson added 88 receiving yards and scored for the third consecutive game.

Coastal Carolina has taken a different route to 1–2. The Chanticleers rallied from a 24-point halftime deficit before losing 31–24 at West Virginia, routing Fordham 45–7, and then falling 22–14 at Delaware last weekend.

Deuce Bailey threw for 250 yards against Delaware, but Coastal went scoreless in the second half. He has already shown his big-play ability this season, throwing for 373 yards and three touchdowns in the opener against West Virginia.

Other Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina markets

The winner market gives Liberty a modest advantage, while supporting contracts remain tight. 

• Liberty -2.5: 53%
• Over 48.5 points: 55%
• Liberty over 27.5 points: 44%
• Coastal Carolina over 24.5 points: 48%
• Liberty to win first half: 50%
• Coastal Carolina to win first half: 40%
• First-half tie: 8%

An old rivalry returns

Thursday marks the first meeting between Liberty and Coastal Carolina since the 2020 Cure Bowl, when the Flames handed the previously unbeaten Chanticleers their only loss of the season with a 37–34 overtime victory. Liberty holds an 8–7 advantage in the all-time series.

There is another familiar connection: Liberty coach Jamey Chadwell returns to Coastal Carolina, where he went 39–22 during five seasons as head coach and helped turn the Chanticleers into a nationally ranked program.

Coastal is now in its first full season under Ryan Beard. The Chanticleers will also be trying to protect home field after both of their losses came on the road; their lone home game produced the 45–7 win over Fordham.

What to watch

• Which Liberty offense shows up? The Flames escaped Gardner-Webb 24–23 before erupting for 460 yards and 51 points against Ball State.
• Can Coastal finish drives? The Chanticleers scored twice in the first half against Delaware but were shut out after halftime in the 22–14 loss.
• How close is this matchup? Liberty is priced at 56% to win, while its chance of covering 2.5 points sits at 53%.
• Does the rivalry pick up where it left off? Three of the previous 15 meetings required overtime, including Liberty's 2020 Cure Bowl victory.

For more on how these contracts work throughout the season, see our guide to football prediction markets.