Ole Miss vs. Florida Prediction Markets: Latest Prices for SEC Showdown

Something has to give at The Swamp.

Ole Miss and Florida are both 3-0 after opening SEC play with statement victories last week. Despite the Rebels' higher ranking and win over LSU, traders give Florida a 61% chance of remaining undefeated.

Market Snapshot

• Florida: 61%
• Ole Miss: 39%
• Florida -3.5: 48%
• Over 59.5: 49%
• Market volume: $4.58M+
• Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. EDT Saturday, Sept. 26
• Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville
• Broadcast: ABC
• Prediction market prices on Kalshi as of 7:18 a.m. EDT Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026.

Quick Brief

Florida enters as the market favorite after a 44-39 road victory over Auburn, while Ole Miss is coming off a 32-24 win over LSU.

The headline market gives the Gators a 61% chance to win, but traders see considerably less certainty around the margin. Florida's chances of winning by more than 3.5 points sit at 48%.

The total is similarly balanced, with a 49% probability of the teams combining for more than 59.5 points.

Both offenses have provided reasons to watch that number. Florida has scored 162 points, the most ever by the program through the first three games under a first-year head coach. Ole Miss enters averaging 40.3 points per game.

Baugh and Chambliss lead two productive offenses

The matchup features two of the SEC's early statistical leaders.

Florida running back Jadan Baugh leads the conference with 458 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. He has topped 100 yards in four consecutive games dating to last season and ran for 162 yards with three touchdowns against Auburn.

Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Chambliss leads the SEC with 924 passing yards through three games, completing 70% of his attempts with seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Receiver Deuce Alexander leads the SEC in receiving yards per game, producing 295 yards and three scores.

The availability of Ole Miss running back Kewan Lacy is one variable to watch. Lacy has 191 rushing yards and four touchdowns but left last week's LSU game with a shoulder injury and enters Saturday listed as doubtful.

Florida receiver Eric Singleton Jr., who has missed the past two games with an ankle injury, is also questionable.

Ole Miss vs. Florida prediction market props

Ole Miss' 275-yard receiving threshold stands out at 59%. Chambliss is already averaging 308 passing yards per game, while Florida allowed Auburn to throw for 271 yards last week.

Florida's strongest supporting price is 62% for at least two receiving touchdowns. The Gators have scored 54 points per game through three weeks, while Baugh's rushing production gives defenses another problem to account for.

Other college football markets to watch

Saturday's board includes several other notable games:

• Texas 64% / Tennessee 36%: No. 1 Texas visits No. 14 Tennessee for the programs' first regular-season meeting. All three previous matchups came in the Cotton Bowl.
• Georgia 83% / Oklahoma 17%: Georgia is a sizable home favorite as Oklahoma visits Athens for the programs' first meeting since the Sooners joined the SEC.
• Michigan 66% / Iowa 34%: Both teams enter 3-0 as the Wolverines and Hawkeyes open Big Ten play in Ann Arbor.
• LSU 75% / Texas A&M 25%: LSU returns home after its first loss of the season, while Texas A&M also enters 2-1 after falling to Kentucky.
• Mississippi State 65% / Missouri 35%: The Bulldogs enter as the market favorite for a ranked SEC matchup in Starkville.

What to Watch

• Florida's rushing attack: Baugh faces an Ole Miss defense that enters Saturday last in the SEC against the run.
• Chambliss through the air: The SEC's passing leader gets a Florida defense that allowed 271 passing yards against Auburn.
• Lacy's status: His availability could affect how Ole Miss balances an offense currently leaning heavily on Chambliss.
• The margin: Florida holds a clear edge in the winner market, but the 48% price at -3.5 suggests traders aren't pricing a comfortable Gators victory.

For more on how these contracts work and what traders can expect, see our guide to football prediction markets.