Seahawks vs. Titans: Prediction Market Odds and What to Watch

The defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks enter Sunday's preseason matchup against Tennessee as prediction market underdogs.

Market Snapshot

• Tennessee Titans: 62%
• Seattle Seahawks: 38%
• Market volume: $549K+
• Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee
• Watch: FOX
• Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
• As of: Morning of Aug. 23, 2026

Quick Brief

The Seattle Seahawks and Tennessee Titans meet Sunday night in a nationally televised preseason matchup at Nissan Stadium in Nashville.

Prediction market traders favor Tennessee, giving the Titans a 62% chance of winning compared with 38% for Seattle. More than $549K has already been traded on Kalshi's game-winner market.

The pricing may look unusual for a matchup involving the defending Super Bowl champions, but preseason markets come with a different set of considerations. Playing time, quarterback rotations, and roster evaluation can matter more than how the teams would compare during the regular season.

That's particularly relevant Sunday, with Tennessee planning to give its starters meaningful playing time.

The Big Picture

The Titans enter their second preseason game after defeating the San Francisco 49ers 19-13 in their opener.

Tennessee plans to play its starters Sunday, potentially giving the first-team units as much as a half of work. That should mean another extended look at quarterback Cam Ward as he prepares for his second NFL season.

Ward completed 5 of 12 passes for 57 yards against San Francisco. The former No. 1 overall pick is entering an important second season after starting throughout his rookie campaign.

Seattle's preseason priorities are different. The Seahawks sat starting quarterback Sam Darnold in their 17-7 opening loss to Dallas, giving Drew Lock and Jalen Milroe the quarterback reps instead.

For the defending champions, the preseason is less about proving where they stand in the NFL hierarchy and more about evaluating the players competing for roles behind an established starting group.

Reading the Market

Tennessee's 62% probability illustrates why preseason prediction markets need to be read differently from their regular-season counterparts.

If these teams were meeting in a meaningful regular-season game, their broader strength would play a much larger role in market pricing. In August, expected playing time dramatically changes the equation.

Tennessee's plan to use its starters gives the Titans a potential early advantage against a Seattle team expected to devote substantial playing time to reserves.

The market has seen some slight movement, with the Seahawks gaining several percentage points from earlier pricing. Preseason probabilities can shift quickly as information about personnel and playing time develops.

The 62%-38% split reflects the circumstances surrounding tonight's game, rather than a broader statement about how traders view either team heading into the regular season.

What to Watch

Playing time is the first thing to watch Sunday night. Tennessee's starters should provide an early measuring stick, particularly Ward and an offense preparing for its second season with the young quarterback. How long the Titans leave their first-team units on the field will be a key storyline for how the market evolves after kickoff. 

Seattle offers a different set of questions. With Darnold sitting out the preseason opener, the exhibition schedule has created opportunities for Lock and Milroe to make their cases behind him. Those quarterback reps, along with competition elsewhere on the roster, remain more meaningful for Seattle than the final score itself.

The Seahawks are also evaluating their receiver depth after Jake Bobo suffered a season-ending knee injury during Friday's joint practice with Tennessee.

New to prediction markets? Read our complete guide to how prediction markets work.