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Politics

Prediction market coverage of elections, Congress, candidates, legislation, government actions, and other political outcomes in the U.S. and beyond.
Who Will Control the Senate? Prediction Market Forecast for 2026

Who Will Control the Senate? Prediction Market Forecast for 2026

Control of the U.S. Senate is nearly a coin flip heading into the final two months before Election Day, with prediction markets giving Republicans only a narrow edge over Democrats.
PredictMatters 02 Sep 2026
What Prediction Markets Say About the 2026 Midterm Elections

What Prediction Markets Say About the 2026 Midterm Elections

See what prediction markets say about the 2026 midterm elections, including control of Congress, key House and Senate races, and what could move the markets.
Christopher Feery 29 Aug 2026
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power Prediction Market

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power Prediction Market

Prediction market traders strongly favor Democrats to win the House, while control of the Senate is nearly a coin flip with 68 days until the midterm elections.
PredictMatters 27 Aug 2026
2028 Democratic Nominee: Prediction Market Forecast

2028 Democratic Nominee: Prediction Market Forecast

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads current probabilities for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with Jon Ossoff close behind and Gavin Newsom slipping to third.
PredictMatters 26 Aug 2026

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